HiddenMysteries: An Attack On Iran Is A Mistake

Iran has spent more than a decade upgrading its military defensive capability by purchasing sophisticated weapons from Russia, China, North Korea, and others and it has developed an advanced indigenous manufacturing capability that can keep them supplied with arms and armament for a long time. Don't be fooled into believing that this is farm implement based technology and that it is no match for our high tech systems.

Ish de Leon
Donna Texas

Technology such as a synthetic aperture radar (SAR) system that was sold by the Loral Corporation to the Peoples Republic of China and approved for export under the Clinton administration greatly enhances existing missile targeting and acquisition systems that may someday be used against our military. The gap in technology has not necessarily narrowed but the inevitable proliferation of older technology has made a difference for precision weapons and command and control systems.

Iran has spent more than a decade upgrading its military defensive capability by purchasing sophisticated weapons from Russia, China, North Korea, and others and it has developed an advanced indigenous manufacturing capability that can keep them supplied with arms and armament for a long time. Don't be fooled into believing that this is farm implement based technology and that it is no match for our high tech systems. Technology such as a synthetic aperture radar (SAR) system that was sold by the Loral Corporation to the Peoples Republic of China and approved for export under the Clinton administration greatly enhances existing missile targeting and acquisition systems that may someday be used against our military. The gap in technology has not necessarily narrowed but the inevitable proliferation of older technology has made a difference for precision weapons and command and control systems.

We have clearly seen that a dedicated guerrilla force that is dug in can wreak bloody havoc on conventional invading forces. Iranian trained Hezbollah was able to withstand the destruction of southern Lebanon from the air and fight a vastly superior Israeli Defense Force to a virtual stalemate with a limited arsenal of tactical weapons and by our standards, a rudimentary command and control system. We face a similar situation in Iraq where the weapons that were so effective in Lebanon like the Russian Kornet antitank missile and late series Rocket Propelled Grenades (RPGs) have yet to be introduced and have been feared since the beginning of the war. These weapons will make their presence known very quickly if they are introduced into Iraq as a consequence of military action against Iran!

The Israelis did the smart thing and high tailed it out of Lebanon while the getting was good because the cost of defeating any guerrilla army is too high and it will inevitably lead to atrocities and casualties that the population back home will not support. Do you think Iraq is bad now; the Iraqis were under sanctions for over a decade but still managed to stockpile large amounts of weapons. Iran has not suffered this disadvantage; they have been preparing and they are waiting for us. They will flood Iraq with weapons and men and join with the Islamic Militias turning Iraq into a killing field for our troops, diplomats, civilians and allies.

Iran, is more like Afghanistan than Iraq where the effectiveness of armor and mobile infantry will be reduced and make low flying aircraft vulnerable to ambushes in the mountainous terrain as the Soviet Union learned to its regret in Afghanistan. The Iranians have many tactical advantages against us on their home turf and strategically they have the capability to strike at most of our resources in the Persian Gulf region. We will take heavy losses! Be prepared for the loss of an aircraft carrier and ten thousand dead soldiers and sailors with a great many tens of thousands maimed and wounded. During the Iran-Iraq war, Iran threw a million Jihadis at the technologically superior Iraqis and stopped them cold forcing Saddam to use chemical weapons to save his army.

Most of our forces in the Middle East are within range of their ballistic missiles and the Straits of Hormuz are covered like a blanket by land based ballistic and cruise missiles and by air launched and naval systems. A hit on a tanker will close the Straits and world oil prices will skyrocket, which is only very good for the oil companies! (Why charge under $3.00 a gallon when you can jack the price up for the same gallon in an unstable market).

You may have heard about the anti-ship missile attack on the Israeli corvette "Hanit" by Hezbollah during the last Lebanon War. The missile was widely reported as being an Iranian copy of a Chinese Silkworm missile but there were also conflicting reports as to the actual missile type. It was also speculated that it might have been a Chinese C802 missile that uses Synthetic Aperture Radar and is similar to the American Harpoon missile, but supposedly, the damage to the ship was less than what would be expected by this missile variant.

Whatever it was, it was very effective. I wonder how many of these they have pointed at shipping lanes. I would hope that even if Israel did not learn a lesson in Lebanon, that we will have had our own experience in Iraq verified; that air power only destabilizes and that the consequences of such narrow strategy are open-ended contingencies that require a huge cost in life, limb, psyche, and national treasure with little or no return for the American people and even less for the people of Texas!

There is no doubt America can "win" a war against Iran but at what cost? What constitutes a win anyway? We have already lost more people in Iraq than we did on 9/11, with huge numbers of physically and psychologically maimed at a huge cost when we can least afford it. If we attack Iran, oil will cease to flow by sea from the Persian Gulf and it will probably stop flowing by pipeline in a matter of course. Everyone loses (well almost everyone) in just about any scenario you can think of involving conflict especially the Iranians and Arabs and they know it.

But how would you like to pay $10 dollars a gallon for gas if it is even available? I don't even want to consider the destabilization that such a sharp increase in fuel price will have on our economy. Inflation will soar. Doesn’t anyone remember the oil embargo back in the seventies with the high interest rates and inflation?

We face another catastrophe if we attack Iran! Our weak dollar could collapse entirely. Governments worldwide are already diversifying their monetary reserves away from petrodollars in favor of petroeuros or a “basket” of currencies! The fact that in order to purchase oil on the world market, nations have needed to maintain large reserves of dollars has spared us many of the worst effects of the economic recessions that have occurred worldwide since the seventies. America has now lost its cushion!

This diversification of reserve currency combined with our enormous debt that some of our economic and political adversaries such as China hold, whose national interest in this case diametrically opposes ours, are a threat to our national security. This is a no win situation for the American people. Even if we win, we lose! There will however, be winners. Lots of them actually, although very few of us regular folk.

The media does not even begin to convey the complexity and enormity of building a national nuclear program with a complete fuel cycle. A person could easily be fooled into believing that the problem is urgent because of the "thousands of centrifuges" that the Iranians now have online. Yellowcake uranium has an extremely low concentration of fissile material so it takes enormous infrastructure to be able to produce the optimum level of enrichment for a sustainable national energy program. This level of enrichment is significantly lower than "bomb grade" and to date Iran has only enriched to four percent!

A separate large infrastructure would be required to produce even small amounts of special nuclear materials clandestinely because material balance sheets must be meticulously maintained that are derived from successive downstream sampling stations. Sampling data is vital for monitoring the efficiency of the centrifuge cascade because any contaminants or breakthrough could poison (inhibit fission) the fuel and/or make it unsafe to handle.

Special nuclear materials are highly enriched amounts of fissionable materials like uranium in this case and plutonium that are used in weapons. Even at ninety nine percent enrichment, one percent contains radioisotope contaminants with detectable concentrations that can be calculated and referenced to material balance sheets giving the material a distinctive signature.

Anything the Iranians could possibly put together in the next ten years would be a weapon of lower enrichment giving the material an unmistakable gamma ray spectrum because of the high concentration of fission and activation products. They could be totally destroyed within the hour of the detonation of such a weapon because the spectrum would be a huge glowing sign pointing right back to them that would only take minutes to verify using portable acquisition and display equipment.

In the movie "The Sum of All Fears" that was based on the Tom Clancy novel, a rapid response team identified a Gadolinium peak in the spectrum from the fallout of a terrorist nuclear blast that was inherent to material processed at the Savannah River Nuclear Processing Plant in South Carolina. Traces of materials found during IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency) inspections of Iranian facilities were determined to be from recycled equipment that was purchased legally from Pakistan.

We WILL use nuclear weapons against Iran. Anything else makes no sense in this crazy scenario of preemption. Based on this administration's past performance though, I would not be surprised if nuclear weapons are used only after we have suffered heavy losses and then are justified as "a last resort" to save our troops and allies much like the last time WMD were used against Iran by our then ally Saddam Hussein, who got much of his WMD technology from America, to all our great shame!

America is under assault, but not by the Arabs or the Iranians. We are under assault by the global forces that are vying for position in the new world order. On September 11, 1990 President George Herbert Walker Bush spoke before a joint session of Congress regarding the Persian Gulf War where he stated that the war presented an opportunity for a "new world order" to emerge.

This world entity is inevitable. All you have to do is look at history. We went from clans, to tribes, then villages and cities, to city-states, and finally to nations. A one-world government is a natural progression! But it won’t be America and certainly not Texas! Our only protection in the coming conglomeration is each other and the American constitution or preferably a free and independent Texas!

As to the alleged Iranian secret program, it would be extremely difficult to purchase all the exotic metal components and chemicals clandestinely to run a significant program, especially for a Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty signatory under an inspection regimen like Iran. International Non-Governmental Organizations such as the Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) and others, monitor compliance of the Nuclear Non Proliferation Treaty and track Treaty specific metal alloys and dual use equipment.

Fluorine gas, that is needed to convert yellowcake uranium to a uranium hexaflouride feed material is extremely dangerous and difficult to produce and also demands a huge infrastructure, special equipment and controls.

The IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency) was absolutely correct in its reporting on the status of Iraqi nuclear programs prior to the run-up to the Iraq war and those who used the premise that Iraq had reconstituted it's nuclear weapons programs as a justification for a preemptive attack were completely wrong.
Now these same people are using similarly biased intelligence channels, with the same rhetoric, through the exact media channels to convince us that the people who were right the last time are wrong now.

Our time has come to put up as Americans and Texans or shut up and concede our future to the globalists and their political enablers that arrogantly create a reality that benefits them and their vision of the future all the while invoking God and Jesus and blinding us to the fact that people are dying.

What would Jesus say to someone who supports a foreign policy that kills tens of thousands of innocents however not intended? Do you think that he would understand that it is unfortunate about "collateral damage" but that it is justified because the terrorists must be defeated in the name of democracy?

America's Founders knew well to fear "democracy" which is why they created a constitutional republic to prevent the manipulation of the people who might not be informed enough to make sound decisions. Unfortunately for the people, the checks and balances built into the American form of government have been eroded to the point where the people are not in control of their destiny anymore and that's if they ever even were.

The use of nuclear weapons by America is the responsibility of the American people and no rationalizations will clean the blood of the victims from our hands if they are used. God and future generations will judge us very harshly I’m afraid.

And what if Biological weapons are also used and something particularly nasty is unleashed in vengeance. Talk about acts of terror. I don't want to die and I especially don't want to see my loved ones die a horrible death from plague or smallpox. Iran with a nuclear weapon is not a threat to us. Biological weapons are a threat to all humanity because this "poor man's" nuke is literally man portable.

Even if Iran were to produce a nuclear weapon, it would be crude and easily traceable back to them. The fear here is that an Iranian nuclear weapon will end up in the hands of the terrorists, right? I do not believe that the mullahs are suicidal. Israel has hundreds and we have thousands. This is not Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD) but certain destruction for them and they know it!

Or should we believe that the Iranians are going to mount their meager arsenal on ballistic missiles and attack us. I find that to be preposterous and I am reminded of a tee shirt that I once saw that had a drawing of a mouse standing defiantly and flipping off an eagle that is swooping down to kill and eat it with the caption that read, "Last Act Of Defiance".

Let us be realistic, if Iran got a nuke or even ten, it might actually lead to a little stability. History shows that Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD) actually works. The U. S. and U.S.S.R. as well as India and Pakistan probably avoided all out conventional war because of nuclear weapons.

We must face the fact that "shock and awe" was marketed to us. Most people have a tendency to trust in government and the patriotism of the people that run it. But many legislators claim that the White House deceived them rather than admit their own obvious complicity and/or lack of due diligence.

The infamous state of the union speech of January 28, 2003 in which President Bush stated, “ The British government has learned that Saddam Hussein recently sought significant quantities of uranium from Africa” was easily verifiable. It only took a few hours for the IAEA to determine that the “Niger” documents on which that statement was based were fakes. So how is it, that President Bush was given the unconstitutional authority to go to war in Iraq considering this flagrant misrepresentation.

It should not be possible that no one at the State Department, CIA, White House, Senate, House of Representatives or anywhere else in government and academia knew that Niger's two operating uranium mines (SOMAIR's open pit mine and COMINAK's underground mine), are owned by a French-led consortium and operated by French interests and that there was no way possible for Saddam to get uranium on the sly.

Republican, Democrat, progressive or conservative; it doesn't matter anymore! People are profiting in this "War on Terror" and its expansion into Iran is about money and power and has nothing to do with the American people's safety. Iran is not a threat to us!

Whether you agree or not with anything I have said, you have to agree that it is imperative that our government follows the law and constitution. It is vital that our congressional representatives exercise their constitutional responsibility and require a congressional act of war with all the appropriate measures and debate before any further military action is taken anywhere. If we need to go to war then so be it but the congress must first and foremost follow the law and prevent any (further) violations of the constitution and relevant treaties. Otherwise what is the point? This is a crisis and we must act now.

Ish de Leon
Donna Texas ·

http://www.texasnationalist.com

An Attack On Iran Is A Mistake

Saturday, October 11 2008 @ 11:01 PM CDT